Do projections from bioclimatic envelope models and climate change metrics match?

Bioclimatic envelope models are widely used to describe changes in climati- cally suitable areas for species under future climate scenarios. Climate change metrics are applied independently of species data to characterize the spatio- temporal dynamics of climate, and have also been used as indicators of the exposure of species to climate change. Here, we investigate whether these two approaches provide qualitatively similar indications about where biodiversity is potentially most exposed to climate change